The Martingale is the hottest betting strategy out there. It can be used in all types of games of chance, but it’s especially hot among roulette players. In this article, we’ll see how the roulette Martingale strategy works and test it to see if it’s worth your time.
Some reports say that the Martingale system was used by roulette players in the 18th century. However, the strategy wasn’t ‘standardized’ before French mathematician Paul Pierre Levy re-introduced it in the 20th century.
We should start by pointing out that this is not a strategy that guarantees a profit. Many new players believe that this is a 100% effective system. As you will see in this article, that’s not always the case, and there are many factors that contribute towards the strategy’s effectiveness.
The idea behind the strategy is for one winning bet to cover all the previous losses. To do that, you need to have a mathematical progression, which means increasing the bet size after each loss. The Martingale betting system roulette does that by doubling the wager size after each turn. Check out how it works in practice, the things you need to watch out for, and our full simulation test of this system.
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A major reason for Martingale’s popularity is its simplicity. The Martingale roulette strategy revolves around doubling your bet size after each loss. It’s up to you to set the base unit, which is also the target goal in each turn. If you choose a bet size of CA$1, for example, the goal is to win CA$1. You can choose a base unit that’s higher or lower than that, and the strategy involves betting on outside even-money bets like Red/Black, Odds/Evens, and High/Lows. The progression requires you to double your wager after each loss. When you win, you will compensate for every loss you have endured, and you will come out 1 unit in profit.
The Martingale strategy roulettes is very simple, and you can check out the diagram below to see how it works:
To show you how the Martingale betting system for roulette works, we’ll give you a provisional example of how the strategy works with a base bet of CA$1.
We bet CA$1 on Red. The ball lands on Black. For the next wager, we need to bet CA$2.
We bet CA$2 on Red in this turn too. The ball lands on Black again, so we lose again. For the next bet, we need to bet CA$4.
We wager CA$4 on Red again. This time, the ball lands on Red, and we win. We cover all our losses and we end up with CA$1 in profit.
We start again with a betting unit of CA$1 and we wager on any even-money bet again.
To check how the Martingale system performs in roulette, we decided to test it in a real-life scenario. To do that, we ran a simulation using Google Sheets, and we set up a Random Number Generator with the specific probabilities. We did this to check whether the system is efficient in the long run or it will fail miserably. We simulated 1000 spins, and we had a base bet of CA$1. The starting bankroll was set at CA$1,000 to make it realistic, and we didn’t set any table limits.
Check out the graph below to see what happened:
The player ultimately ended the 1000 spins in net profit. However, you can monitor the graph and the bankroll to see the possible shortcomings of the Martingale. Around the 300th spin, the bankroll dropped to CA$118. This happened because they lost 10 times in a row - which can happen in real life too. With a starting bet of CA$1, the bet size grew exponentially to CA$512. If this happens, the next wager is CA$1,024, but since the bankroll dropped to CA$118, that’s not possible. If this was a real-life scenario, the progression would end here, and you would have to count your losses.
The chart shows, however, that if you had no limit on your bankroll and there were no table limits, the strategy would work.
To see how the Martingale strategy for roulette would work in a more realistic scenario, we decided to run another simulation, but this time the bankroll was set at CA$300, and we would run the simulation for 100 spins. We also decided to run the test with 3 players so we can compare the differences between them.
Player 1 finished the 100-spin session with CA$59 in profit. Player 2, however, wasn’t as lucky. They capped at the 96th spin when their bankroll fell to CA$94. Player 3 zeroed out by the 25th spin, when they experienced a long losing session, and their bankroll fell to CA$54, which means they would be unable to continue.
Our tests show that the Martingale betting system for roulette can work, but there are several pitfalls. Our simulations saw that it’s not uncommon for 10 losses to occur in a row. The probability for ten consecutive losses in European roulette is 0.1275% (P equals (0.524)^10), while for American roulette is 0.1631%.
The probability seems incredibly small at first, but over a long series of spins, it’s not impossible to happen. In our second test, when players started with a bankroll of CA$300 each, both Player 2 and Player 3 were out after they lost 8 times in a row.
The chance of that happening in European roulette is 0.5683%, and 0.5859% for American roulette.
Our tests showed us a lot about this strategy and how it performs. It definitely has some weaknesses, so let’s check out what they are.
The majority of roulette tables at casinos come with betting limits. This means that if you reach the upper table limit, you won’t be able to wager more than that. If you have experienced a series of consecutive losses and you have to wager an amount that’s higher than the table limit, so your progression ends. Look for the table with as high limits as possible.
The Martingale roulette strategy requires a higher starting bankroll if you want to stick with it longer. Losing several times in a row can be costly, so if you have a lower starting bankroll, we suggest setting the base bet low.
The Martingale strategy can work in the long run, but to make some substantial profit, you should play consistently. Stick to the algorithm for 100 spins if you can, or more. Mind the table limits and play with a large enough bankroll, and hope not to experience a long losing session early.
If you’re on the lookout for roulette strategies, the Martingale will surely come up. As we have seen from our tests, however, it’s not perfect, and it would be misleading to claim that you can 100% make a profit with it.
Let’s conclude the facts about this strategy: If you had unlimited bankroll and played at a table where there are no betting limits, the Martingale strategy roulette works perfectly. However, you should keep in mind that the only profit you make after each turn is the base bet. So, it would take you days to win some money.
In the real world, you will never find tables without betting limits, and it’s unrealistic to believe that one would play with an unlimited bankroll. So, you will get struck by a losing session at one point, and you will either have to try a different system or roulette strategy.
Is the Martingale strategy a scam? No, it’s not. It has some potential to make some cash with it, but as with any other game of luck, you need luck on your side not to hit a long losing session too early.
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